Prediction, odds, and pick for Troy vs. UTSA: Can Troy Win the Cure Bowl?

 Troy surprised everyone by having a very successful season, but will they be able to overcome Frank Harris and a strong UTSA offence? Let's dissect it.

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UTSA vs. Troy Start Time, Location, and Probabilities

the 16th of December 2022

Time of the Match: 3:00 ET

Viewing Location: ESPN

UTSA vs. Troy Troy +3 and UTSA -3 (-112) are the odds (-106)

Under 56.5 (-110), Over 56.5 (-108)

Troy (+125), UTSA (-145) on the moneyline

Prediction for Troy vs. UTSA

Defense, in my opinion, will be the key to this game. Troy has a far better defence than UTSA on almost every level and has also played a much tougher schedule. Troy had a remarkable nine games this season in which they gave up 20 points or fewer, but Frank Harris has been one of the top five quarterbacks in the country this year, so their defence will have their job cut out for them in this contest.

While the UTSA offence and Frank Harris have been extremely effective, their defence has simply fallen short. UTSA's defence has been quite flimsy this season, as they have given up a lot of yards and have already allowed more than 27 points in nine games. Troy's last loss came to Appalachian State on a last-second field goal in late September, making them one of the greatest and most productive teams in the country at this point.

Their only other defeat of the season, aside from that one, which they ought to have won, occurred in their season opener against Ole Miss by a score of 28 to 10, even though they also covered the spread.

Frank Harris's rise to stardom as a quarterback and the success of UTSA have brought them more attention, but I think Troy is the superior team overall based on how well their defence has performed this season. Although Harris has been very good at building up yards and scoring touchdowns this season, he has also been highly prone to turnovers. I think Troy will be able to pressure Harris in this game. This afternoon, Troy should be able to put pressure on him and make him make a number of blunders. TROY +3 at -106 for 1.5u is one of my most confident college football plays of the day, so I'm rolling with it.